一场混乱的共和党初选可能会让该党在密歇根的战场上付出代价

Things haven’t exactly gone to plan for Republicans in Michigan.

在春天, 五名候选人争夺民主党州长. 格雷琴·惠特默 — one of the GOP’s top targets for defeat this year被封锁 from appearing on the primary ballot after failing to submit enough valid signatures. The highly unusual sequence of events left Republicans without two of their leading gubernatorial contenders, former Detroit police chief James Craig and businessman Perry Johnson, roughly two months before the August 2 主.
不久, one of the remaining GOP candidates on the ballot, real estate broker Ryan Kelley, was arrested by the FBI on misdemeanor charges related to the January 6, 2021, 美国国会大厦发生骚乱. 上个月, 凯莉 不认罪 to the charges, saying he was only engaged inFirst Amendment activity” [object Window]. Kelley has been a proponent of former President Donald Trump’s unfounded voter fraud claims, 声称 的 2020 election in Michigan wasfraudulent.
    Left without a clear front-runner for much of the race, Republicans have coalesced around conservative political commentator Tudor Dixon down the final stretch. Already backed by the family of former Education Secretary Betsy DeVos and the Michigan Chamber of Commerce, Dixon also won Trump’s endorsement 在周五.
      During an appearance on Fox News over the weekend, Dixon said she was “担心的” 对于生活在堕胎提供者很少且面临众多障碍的州的女性来说 2020 presidential election was administered in Michigan, though she would not answer directly if it was stolen, as Trump has claimed. Dixon also said she did not believe Trump bears responsibility for January 6.
        Republicans are now in a much weaker position to oust Whitmer in a battleground state Joe Biden won by just three points in 2020 than anticipated at the outset of the cycle.
        例如, Dixon’s campaign has spent just $ 118,000 on ads so far, according to AdImpact data collected by CNN’s David Wright. A pro-Dixon outside group, Michigan Families United, has provided a boost with nearly $ 2.3 million worth of ads. But Whitmer, who has built up her campaign coffers while running unopposed in the Democratic primary, has already poured $ 2.8 million into ads as she looks ahead to the general election.
          Despite the broader political environment favoring the GOP, 艾米沃尔特的库克政治报告 shifted its rating last week on the Michigan governor’s race fromtoss-up” 至 “lean Democrat.Other nonpartisan political handicappers have a similar read on the contest: Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales rates ittilt Democraticand the University of Virginia’s Crystal Ball lists it 如 “lean Democrat.
          共和党人, 当然, will still have a full three months to right the ship after Tuesday’s primary. But if they aim to expand their advantage at the gubernatorial level this year, they can’t afford to lose many states like Michigan.
            Nationwide, the GOP currently controls 28 governorships. Two of those, 然而, are in the deep blue states of Maryland and Massachusetts, and are widely expected to end up in the Democratic column after this fall. By comparison, Republicans don’t have any slam dunks on the 2022 map: 的 库克政治报告 rates the races in red-leaning Kansas and the swing states of Nevada and Wisconsin as the most vulnerable Democratic-held seats.
            重点: Even with national winds at their backs, Republicans can’t seem to stop tripping over themselves in key statewide battleground races.

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