1) 谁都知道 — or will know by Election Day 2022 — that Democrats are in control of the House and Senate (not to mention the White House).
2) Democrats have gone from thrilled at how Congress was doing (61% approval in January 2021) to decidedly “meh” (26% 赞同) in the space of the last year.
“民主党人’ approval of Congress fell as infighting among Democratic legislators held up passage of Biden’s climate change and social spending bill. With Biden’s legislative agenda still stalled, 民主党人’ latest 26% approval of the legislative branch is the lowest it has been in a year.”
Here’s what it all 手段: Not only will the general unhappiness directed toward Congress fall more heavily on the majority party this November, but the fact that the Democrats’ base is something well short of energized suggests they may have trouble getting core supporters to turn out to vote.
重点: It’s yet another data point to suggest that historical trends — which point to major seat losses in the first midterm election of a president’s tenure — are playing out in 2022 exactly as we would expect. Which is very bad news for Democrats.