In the Senate, people like New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu and Arizona Gov. 더그 뒤시, both of whom are being courted by national Republicans to run, have to be encouraged by what they saw on Tuesday. Ditto candidates in states like Colorado, where the GOP field has been very slow in forming.
“I bet there’s more people that are going to want to get in because they can see there’s a path,” National Republican Senatorial Committee chair Rick Scott of Florida said on Wednesday.
과, it’s not just partisan who see good recruitment news for Republicans in the results from Tuesday night. Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia made a series of race ratings changes in the wake of the 2021 결과.
“만약 [조 대통령] Biden’s approval rating is in the low-to-mid 40s next year
, 지금 그대로, everything we know about political trends and history suggests that the Democrats
’ tiny majorities in the House and Senate are at major risk of becoming minorities
,” wrote Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
They changed four races — all in Republicans’ favor: 애리조나, Georgia and Nevada all went from “Lean Democratic” ...에 “Toss Up” while Colorado moved from “Safe Democratic” ...에 “Likely Democratic”
지금, it’s no guarantee that what happened on Tuesday will be determinative in making up the minds of candidates on the fence about running. In Arizona, 예를 들면, Ducey has come under considerable attack from former President Donald Trump for his refusal to overturn the 2020 election results in the state. 을 고려하면, it’s not clear that Ducey could win a competitive Republican primary — even if he would likely benefit from a general election landscape that clearly tilts toward Republicans at the moment.
For Republicans generally, 하나, what Tuesday demonstrated is momentum. They can now go to every candidate they want to run in the country and make a credible argument that the 2022 election is shaping up to be a very good one for their side.
Which is why what happens in November 2021 absolutely has an impact on what happens in November 2022. Good candidates win races. And good political environments help recruit good candidates.