El declive de Covid puede ser una buena noticia para Estados Unidos, malas noticias para Biden

Pero aparentemente no para los demócratas.

Ese no es mi análisis, es la comida para llevar de Politico, que dice “las consecuencias políticas pueden ser graves, especialmente para los demócratas.”

“Se quita un gran problema,” Ben Tribbett, a Democratic strategist in Virginia, is quoted as saying.

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En realidad? It would be better for the Demócratas if the coronavirus continued to ravage the country, driving up deaths and hospitalizations, so they don’t lose a political weapon? That sounds incredibly heartless.

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the debt ceiling during an event in the State Dining Room of the White House, lunes, oct. 4, 2021, en Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)

President Joe Biden delivers remarks on the debt ceiling during an event in the State Dining Room of the White House, lunes, oct. 4, 2021, en Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci) (Evan Vucci)

Now I’ll give Tribbett the benefit of the doubt and assume he was responding to a reporter’s question and doesn’t want more casualties just to boost his party. But let’s look at the political landscape.

The pandemic isn’t exactly over, con más que 70,000 new daily cases and about 1,400 fallecidos. But the case figures are less than half than the early August peak.

While there could be an uptick as colder weather forces more people inside, el Washington Post dice the pandemicappears to be winding down in the Estados Unidos in a thousand subtle ways, but without any singular milestone, or a cymbal-crashing announcement of freedom from the virus.

As one expert put it, the virus just fades into the background, como la gripe.

Now there’s no question that the pandemic was Joe Biden’s principal issue in the campaign, and his assault on Donald Trump’s handling of the virus was crucial to his winning the White House.

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And while Trump launched Operation Warp Speed, it was Biden who rolled it outand reaped the political benefits as a vast swath of the country got the shots. Es decir, Hasta que 80 million Americans refused to be vaccinated, the president imposed mandates and the Delta variant surged. Those developments, along with the Afganistán debacle and border crisis, fueled Biden’s slide in the polls.

President Donald Trump stands on the Blue Room Balcony upon returning to the White House Monday, oct. 5, 2020, en Washington, after leaving Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, in Bethesda, Maryland. Trump announced he tested positive for COVID-19 on Oct. 2. (Foto AP / Alex Brandon)

President Donald Trump stands on the Blue Room Balcony upon returning to the White House Monday, oct. 5, 2020, en Washington, after leaving Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, in Bethesda, Maryland. Trump announced he tested positive for COVID-19 on Oct. 2. (Foto AP / Alex Brandon) ( (Foto AP / Alex Brandon))

With more media attention to inflation, escasez de suministro, Democratic infighting, and culture-war battlesas exemplified by the Toni Morrison book flap in the Virginia governor’s racevirus politics no longer dominates the news.

As interest in Covid fades,” says Politico, “Democrats may lose one of their most compelling campaign planks a little more than a year before a critical midterm election in which the party is already facing headwinds.

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTUBRE 28: NOSOTROS. President Joe Biden walks into the U.S. Capitol building with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (Como D) for a meeting with House Democrats on the continued negotiations over the domestic spending Bills before the President departs for Europe on October 28, 2021 en Washicorriente continuaton, DC. President Biden is heading to Rome where he will meet with leaders from the G20 as well as the Pope in the Vatican as Democrats are continuing internal negotiations about his administration's social policy spending bill. (Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

WASHINGTON, corriente continua – OCTUBRE 28: NOSOTROS. President Joe Biden walks into the U.S. Capitol building with Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (Como D) for a meeting with House Democrats on the continued negotiations over the domestic spending Bills before the President departs for Europe on October 28, 2021 en Washington, corriente continua. President Biden is heading to Rome where he will meet with leaders from the G20 as well as the Pope in the Vatican as Democrats are continuing internal negotiations about his administration’s social policy spending bill. (Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images) (Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

There’s a certain irony here. If the virus keeps receding, Biden would deserve some of the credit. He’s taken plenty of heat for mandating vaccines and encouraging states and businesses to do the same, but the gradual rise in the vax ratewith some facing the loss of their jobshas surely contributed to slowing the spread.

And yet elections are always about the future. The Brits fired Winston Churchill after World War II, and Americans fired George H.W. arbusto after the Gulf War. Even if Biden is seen as the man who vanquished Covid-19, that means Americans will be worrying about other things in ’22and that means a changed political landscape.

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