New Jersey pollster admits he 'blew it' on governor's race, questions whether election polls should be used

Murphy was in the lead by just 44,000 votes, or 1.8 percentage points, on Thursday evening, a much narrower lead than the 11-point margin that Monmouth gave Murphy in its last poll on Oct. 27. 

“If you are a Republican who believes the polls cost Ciattarelli an upset victory or a Democrat who feels we lulled your base into complacency, feel free to vent,” Patrick Murray, the director of Monmouth University Polling Institute, wrote in an op-ed for NJ.com on Thursday. 

“I owe an apology to Jack Ciattarelli’s campaign — and to Phil Murphy’s campaign for that matter — because inaccurate public polling can have an impact on fundraising and voter mobilization efforts,” he wrote. “But most of all I owe an apology to the voters of New Jersey for information that was at the very least misleading.”

People fill their ballots in privacy booths during the gubernatorial election in Newark, New Jersey, U.S., November 2, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

People fill their ballots in privacy booths during the gubernatorial election in Newark, New Jersey, U.S., November 2, 2021. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz

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