The fate of Presidente Trump'S reelection bid will ultimately come down to the three battleground states that put him over the top in 2016: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, former George W. Bush adviser Karl Rove predicted Monday.
“I know from polls that I’m looking at in Arizona, private polls in Arizona [e] Carolina del Nord, Pennsylvania, e Wisconsin, that the numbers are tightening,” Rove told “La storia.”
“Pensaci in questo modo, se il presidente vince ogni stato — prendiamo i tre stati dei Grandi Laghi, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin [e] metterli da parte per un secondo. If the president wins any one of the rest of the states he won in 2016 and carries Pennsylvania, lui ha 280 voti elettorali, ten more than needed,” Ha detto Rove.
“If he carries Wisconsin out of those three states, solo Wisconsin, he’s got 270,” Lui ha spiegato. “If he carries Michigan out of those three states and loses Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, lui ha 276, quindi la via per la vittoria sta in questi stati.”
Recent polling shows Biden leading Trump by 10 punti nel Michigan (52-42 per cento), 8 punti in Pennsylvania (52-44 per cento), e 9 punti in Wisconsin (53-44 per cento). Biden’s advantage was believed to be outside the margin of error in Michigan, but polls suggest the gap could narrow significantly as Election Day draws near. Trump won all three states by fewer than one percentage point in 2016.
If Trump does indeed carry Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina, “he just needs one more of these states,” Rove emphasized.
“The most dangerous one is Wisconsin, anche se, because if he’s at 270. If he loses either [the 2nd congressional district in] Maine or Nebraska, we’ve either got a tie in the Electoral College — or he’s down by 2 if he loses both of them.”