Tropical cyclones in Asia could have double the destructive power by the end of century, hallazgos del estudio

Tropical cyclones in Asia could have double the destructive power by the end of the century, según una nueva investigación, as scientists say the human-made climate crisis is already making them stronger.

Using data from nearly four decades from 1979 a 2016, researchers found that the destructive power of tropical cyclones had dramatically increased, with stronger landfalling cyclones lasting longer and tracking further inland.
El estudio, by researchers at the Shenzhen Institute of Meteorological Innovation and the Chinese University of Hong Kong and published in Frontiers in Earth Science, said that tropical cyclones now last between two and nine hours longer and traveled an average of 100 km (62 millas) further inland than they did four decades ago.
    The study looked at cyclones over east and southeast Asia and found the Vietnamese capital of Hanoi and the southern China region were hardest hit between 1979 y 2016.
      Researchers also found that by the end of the century, the average landfall wind speed over Asian inland regions could increase by two meters per second, o 5 millas por hora. Small increases in top wind speeds of a cyclone can bring much higher levels of destruction.
        The study suggests an average cyclone by then will last around 5 hours longer and will travel 92 kilómetros (57 millas) farther inland, nearly doubling their destructive power.
        Tropical cyclones are among the most dangerous natural disasters, with flooding rainfall, damaging winds and storm surge. Sobre el pasado 50 años, these cyclones have led to nearly 780,000 deaths and around $ 1.4 billion worth of economic losses globally.
          People cross the street in the wind and rain in Ningbo on July 25, as Typhoon In-Fa lashes the east coast of China.

          En junio, Typhoon In-fa and Typhoon Cempaka brought extreme rain of more than 150mm per hour to China’s Henan province, breaking a record in the city of Zhengzhou. Más que 300 la gente fue asesinada in the floods that ravaged central China, los funcionarios dijeron.
          And in September 2021, the remnants of Hurricane Ida caused torrential rain and flash flooding in New York, dejando al menos 50 gente muerta.
          Both disasters caused huge economic and human losses,” the study’s lead author, Dr Chi-Yung Tam of the Chinese University of Hong Kong said.
          Tam and his colleagues are calling for more action to reduce planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions and increase disaster preparedness in Asia.

          Intensifying storms

          Several studies suggest that warmer ocean temperatures are intensifying tropical cyclones.
          One of those studies, from researchers at the University of Wisconsin in Madison and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), looked at nearly 40 years of satellite data of global storms. El estudio, published last year, found that global warming has increased sea surface temperature in regions where tropical cyclones form. The combination of these warm temperatures, along with changes in atmospheric conditions, have allowed storms to more easily reach higher intensities.
          If a cyclone intensifies in strength at landfall, it will travel further inland, amplifying its destructive power.
          While human-caused global warming is likely fueling the increase in the severity of the storms, natural weather cycles and events can also strengthenor weakenthe intensity and frequency of cyclones.
            Tam said numerical models predict the climate crisiswill likely continue the increasing trend in landfalling typhoons and their impacts on inland regions.
            More Asian inland regions may be exposed to more severe storm-related disasters in the future as a result of the climate crisis,” él dijo.

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