The history of midterm elections is riddled with House members — and even some senators — who did everything they could to make sure voters knew they didn’t agree with the president of their party all the time and still wound up cinched at the political waist to the commander in chief.
One classic example of this political reality came in
2020, when North Dakota Democratic Rep
. Earl Pomeroy ran a TV ad late in the campaign in which he said this
: “I’m not Nancy Pelosi. I’m not Barack Obama.” He still verlore by almost
The simple fact is (and this is never more true than in our current moment of tribalism) that most people have little to no idea who their House members are. They use that vote as a sort of parliamentary one; they vote for (or against) one party as opposed to one person.
— especially recent history
— suggests that is a very bad thing for House Democrats
. In Trump’s midterm election of
2018, Republicans lost
40 seats and the House majority
. In 2010, Obama’s first midterm election
, Democrats lost
63 seats and
, you guessed it
, control of the House
The wave metaphor is useful here. What the likes of Wild and Kim (and others in swing districts) are trying to do is row their own little boats away from the potential of an anti-Biden wave that will swamp them. But they can’t row fast enough to get away. Either the wave will dissipate on its own or it will crash down on them.
They have very little agency in all of it. Which is both a) frustrating and b) waar.
Die punt: The best thing any swing district Democrat can do is push like crazy for Biden to stop the slippage on Afghanistan and pivot to stronger political ground like the infrastructure bill or the bigger coronavirus stimulus package.