ㅏ Fox News poll released Thursday showed Youngkin up a whopping 8 그의 민주당 상대에 포인트, 와 53% 버지니아에서 공화당을 지지할 가능성이 있는 유권자 중 유일하게 45% McAuliffe를 지지하는 그들 중. That lead fell outside the poll’s margin of error, a massive shift from two weeks prior, when McAuliffe enjoyed a 5-point lead, ...에서 51-46.
비슷하게, Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics rated the governor’s race “Leans Republican,” while it had previously characterized the race as “Leans Democratic.”
While Virginia “is clearly trending Democratic,” Youngkin enjoys “many significant advantages,” 추가 된 보고서. Although the results of the Virginia governor race often serve as a bellwether for midterm elections the following year, the Sabato report warned that this is not always the case.
FiveThirtyEight also gives Youngkin an advantage, albeit a smaller one. The FiveThirtyEight compilation of polls puts the Republican ahead but well within a margin of error, 47.8% ...에 46.8%. FiveThirtyEight includes two citations for a Washington Post/George Mason University poll (conducted from Oct. 20 ...에 26) that found McAuliffe ahead with likely voters 49% ...에 48%, and registered voters 49% ...에 45%.
The most recent polls have leaned Youngkin, 하나.